Andrey Rublev vs Alexander ZverevBastad Quarter-final

Bastad · ATP · Quarter-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
clay
#3ATP
2100ELO
2051Clay ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Rublev A.
6-2 6-3
Zverev A.
Rublev A.
662
Zverev A.
230

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Zverev 6-2 6-3 in the Bastad quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 7–2. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

Head to head

27
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2023-10-23ViennaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(5) 6-3
2023-02-27DubaiSFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 7-6(9)
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2020-01-20Australian OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-0 7-6(4)
2017-10-02BeijingQFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2016-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlexander Zverev6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Zverev A.
14
Serve
64
62
Return
57

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
72
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
2.8Clay Elo 1872
Surface ELO
7.2+179 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 2100
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.9
Surface form
7.9
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
5.7
0.0
3-set count
0.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
52

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 90%