Alexander Zverev vs Andrey RublevCincinnati Masters Final

Cincinnati Masters · ATP · Final
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 August 2021
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Zverev A.
6-2 6-3
Rublev A.
Zverev A.
662
Rublev A.
230

Alexander Zverev defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-3 in the Cincinnati Masters final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 6–3, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

Head to head

63
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2023-10-23ViennaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(5) 6-3
2023-07-17BastadQFclayAndrey Rublev6-2 6-3
2023-02-27DubaiSFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 7-6(9)
2020-01-20Australian OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-0 7-6(4)
2017-10-02BeijingQFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2016-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlexander Zverev6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Rublev A.
71
Serve
55
42
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Even
8.5
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
94
88
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
90
72
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+193 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1849
7.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1902
10.0
H2H
0.0
9.2
Surface form
5.6
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
Prev. match
8.0
5.8
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
52
94

Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CDrizzle
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 86%
Final
Zverev A.[3]
Rublev A.[4]
6-26-3