Andrey Rublev vs Alexander ZverevDubai Semi-final

Dubai · ATP · Semi-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Rublev A.
6-3 7-6
Zverev A.
Rublev A.
67112
Zverev A.
3690

Andrey Rublev defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 7-6 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 7–2. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 7–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

27
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4
2023-10-23ViennaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-7(5) 6-3
2023-07-17BastadQFclayAndrey Rublev6-2 6-3
2021-08-16Cincinnati MastersFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2020-01-20Australian OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 6-4
2019-10-07Shanghai MastersR16hardAlexander Zverev6-0 7-6(4)
2017-10-02BeijingQFhardAlexander Zverev6-2 6-3
2016-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR64clayAlexander Zverev6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Zverev A.
55
Serve
71
52
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Even
7.9
8.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
72
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1849
Surface ELO
7.4+193 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.2
Surface form
3.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
5.9
4.0
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
52

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%