Alex De Minaur defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the London quarter-final on carpet. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 7–2, defending last year's round of 16. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 8–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Wimbledon | R64 | grass | Alex De Minaur | 6-3 6-2 6-2 |
| 2026-06-13 | s Hertogenbosch | SF | grass | Alex De Minaur | 4-6 0-6 |
| 2023-06-19 | Queen's Club | QF | grass | Alex De Minaur | 6-4 4-6 6-4 |
| 2023-01-19 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6(3) 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | R64 | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6 4-6 6-4 6-1 |
| 2022-07-25 | Atlanta | QF | hard | Alex De Minaur | 4-6 6-3 6-0 |
| 2022-06-09 | s Hertogenbosch | R16 | grass | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2022-06-06 | s Hertogenbosch | R16 | grass | Adrian Mannarino | 6-2 6-3 |
| 2019-09-23 | Zhuhai | F | hard | Alex De Minaur | 7-6 6-4 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
De Minaur A.: 20 days rest · Mannarino A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About