Sebastian Baez vs Juan Pablo Varillas — Rome Masters Round of 128

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 128
Sebastian Baez
ARG
Sebastian Baez
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Baez S.
7-5 6-3
Varillas J.
Baez S.
762
Varillas J.
530

Sebastian Baez defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 7-5 6-3 in the Rome Masters round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26SantiagoR16claySebastian Baez4-6 6-4 6-2
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroR16claySebastian Baez7-5 7-6(6)
2022-02-21SantiagoR32claySebastian Baez6-4 6-4
2021-07-12HamburgQ2clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-2 3-6 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Varillas J.
1
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Baez S.Varillas J.
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Baez S.Varillas J.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Dominant
86
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Baez S.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Varillas J.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+287 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Clay Elo 1431
8.4Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1440
6.4
H2H
3.6
4.7
Surface form
4.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Baez S.Varillas J.
Freshness·Dominant
96
55

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%
Final
Medvedev D.[3]
Rune H.[7]
7-57-5
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
7-57-5
Rune H.[7]
Ruud C.[4]
6-726-46-2
Quarter-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Hanfmann Y.
6-26-2
Rune H.[7]
Djokovic N.[1]
6-24-66-2
Ruud C.[4]
Cerundolo F.[24]
7-656-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Coric B.[15]
6-36-4
R16
Cerundolo F.[24]
Sinner J.[8]
6-736-26-2
Medvedev D.[3]
Zverev A.[19]
6-27-63
Djokovic N.[1]
Norrie C.[13]
6-36-4
Rune H.[7]
Popyrin A.
6-45-76-4
Ruud C.[4]
Djere L.
6-16-3
Hanfmann Y.
Rublev A.[6]
7-654-66-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Musetti L.[18]
7-57-5
Coric B.[15]
Marozsan F.
3-66-46-3
R32
Djere L.
Garin C.
6-32-1
Medvedev D.[3]
Zapata Miralles B.[31]
3-66-16-3
Musetti L.[18]
Tiafoe F.[12]
5-76-46-3
Marozsan F.
Alcaraz C.[2]
6-37-64
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Sonego L.
6-37-63
Coric B.[15]
Carballes Baena R.
7-636-1
Djokovic N.[1]
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-34-66-1
Norrie C.[13]
Fucsovics M.
6-27-64
Popyrin A.
Safiullin R.
7-57-5
Rune H.[7]
Fognini F.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[4]
Bublik A.
6-14-67-60
Cerundolo F.[24]
Barrere G.
6-706-26-2
Sinner J.[8]
Shevchenko A.
6-36-746-2
Rublev A.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
7-686-3
Hanfmann Y.
Cecchinato M.
6-44-66-3
Zverev A.[19]
Wolf J.
6-47-5
R64
Barrere G.
Khachanov K.[11]
4-66-47-64
Carballes Baena R.
Evans D.[20]
7-655-76-4
Ruud C.[4]
Rinderknech A.
6-46-0
Hanfmann Y.
Fritz T.[9]
6-46-1
Coric B.[15]
Monteiro T.
4-67-687-65
Davidovich Fokina A.[27]
Pella G.
6-07-64
Djokovic N.[1]
Etcheverry T.
7-656-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Wawrinka S.
6-47-63
Fucsovics M.
De Minaur A.[17]
6-36-4
Norrie C.[13]
Muller A.
6-26-3
Popyrin A.
Auger Aliassime F.[10]
6-44-67-5
Safiullin R.
Korda S.[22]
6-27-65
Fognini F.
Kecmanovic M.[30]
6-37-66
Rune H.[7]
Fils A.
6-36-3
Bublik A.
Shelton B.[28]
6-41-66-2
Djere L.
Van De Zandschulp B.[23]
6-26-4
Garin C.
Paul T.[16]
4-66-36-4
Cerundolo F.[24]
Wu Y.
4-66-26-3
Sinner J.[8]
Kokkinakis T.
6-16-4
Rublev A.[6]
Molcan A.
6-36-4
Cecchinato M.
Bautista Agut R.[21]
6-26-2
Wolf J.
Hurkacz H.[14]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[19]
Goffin D.
5-76-36-4
Zapata Miralles B.[31]
Kubler J.
6-46-1
Medvedev D.[3]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-46-2
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Borges N.
6-36-3
Sonego L.
Nishioka Y.[25]
7-56-3
Musetti L.[18]
Arnaldi M.
6-46-4
Tiafoe F.[12]
Altmaier D.
3-67-56-3
Marozsan F.
Lehecka J.[32]
4-66-17-64
Alcaraz C.[2]
Ramos A.
6-46-1
Shevchenko A.
Baez S.
6-36-4
R128
Wawrinka S.
Ivashka I.
6-26-4
Kokkinakis T.
Munar J.
4-2
Djere L.
Lestienne C.
6-10-0
Carballes Baena R.
Dellien H.
6-26-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Humbert U.
6-43-67-66
Popyrin A.
Oconnell C.
6-27-65
Etcheverry T.
Van Assche L.
7-676-3
Fucsovics M.
Krajinovic F.
6-46-2
Muller A.
Edmund K.
6-16-3
Safiullin R.
Giron M.
6-46-3
Fognini F.
Murray A.
6-44-66-4
Fils A.
Cerundolo J.
6-11-66-4
Rinderknech A.
Cobolli F.
6-46-3
Bublik A.
Martinez P.
6-37-64
Garin C.
Cachin P.
6-43-67-65
Wu Y.
Gasquet R.
3-66-36-3
Baez S.
Varillas J.
7-56-3
Molcan A.
Napolitano S.
6-43-67-61
Pella G.
Cressy M.
6-36-4
Cecchinato M.
Mcdonald M.
6-37-5
Hanfmann Y.
Jarry N.
6-46-4
Wolf J.
Grenier H.
7-57-5
Goffin D.
Nardi L.
3-66-46-2
Kubler J.
Huesler M.
6-766-46-2
Borges N.
Lajovic D.
6-46-1
Sonego L.
Chardy J.
6-26-1
Altmaier D.
Zeppieri G.
7-634-66-0
Monteiro T.
Mannarino A.
6-16-2
Marozsan F.
Moutet C.
6-06-786-2
Ramos A.
Passaro F.
4-66-16-4
Barrere G.
Nakashima B.
6-36-3
Arnaldi M.
Schwartzman D.
6-14-66-3