Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Sebastian Baez 6-2 3-6 7-6 in the Hamburg qualifying round 2 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Juan Pablo Varillas narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-26 | Santiago | R16 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 4-6 6-4 6-2 |
| 2023-05-08 | Rome Masters | R128 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 6-3 |
| 2023-02-20 | Rio de Janeiro | R16 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 7-5 7-6(6) |
| 2022-02-21 | Santiago | R32 | clay | Sebastian Baez | 6-4 6-4 |
| 2021-07-12 | Hamburg | Q2 | clay | Juan Pablo Varillas | 6-2 3-6 7-6(0) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About