Sebastian Baez vs Juan Pablo VarillasSantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
clay
#308ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Baez S.
6-4 6-4
Varillas J.
Baez S.
662
Varillas J.
440

Sebastian Baez defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-4 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #57, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Sebastian Baez edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-26SantiagoR16claySebastian Baez4-6 6-4 6-2
2023-05-08Rome MastersR128claySebastian Baez7-5 6-3
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroR16claySebastian Baez7-5 7-6(6)
2021-07-12HamburgQ2clayJuan Pablo Varillas6-2 3-6 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Varillas J.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
72%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.8
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
87
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
80
Break points won·Dominant
86
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
88
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.0+287 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.0Clay Elo 1431
8.4Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
1.6Overall Elo 1440
5.8
H2H
4.2
6.9
Surface form
6.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
2.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
96
55

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 36%