Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Casper RuudMiami Masters Round of 32

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
3-6 6-4 6-4
Ruud C.
Van De Zandschulp B.
3662
Ruud C.
6441

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Casper Ruud 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's final. Botic Van De Zandschulp narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-01EstorilR16clayCasper Ruud6-1 6-2
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR32clayCasper Ruud7-5 7-6(1)
2022-05-09Rome MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-7(4) 6-2 6-4
2022-04-25MunichQFclayBotic Van De Zandschulp7-5 6-1
2021-08-30US OpenR64hardBotic Van De Zandschulp3-6 6-4 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Ruud C.
41
Serve
59
43
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
54%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.6
5.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Slight edge
68
75
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
81
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.2Hard Elo 1711
Surface ELO
6.8+178 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1983
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
4.9
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
7.9
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.2
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
98

Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%