Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Brandon NakashimaMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-4 7-6
Nakashima B.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6772
Nakashima B.
4650

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 7-6 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #20, defending last year's round of 128. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(4) 6-4
2023-01-09Adelaide 2R32hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-2 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Nakashima B.
40
Serve
61
53
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
95
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
64
Tiebreaks·Even
85
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1788
5.9Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1839
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.3
Surface form
5.4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
3-set count
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
84
90

Davidovich Fokina A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%