Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Brandon NakashimaAdelaide 2 Round of 32

Adelaide 2 · ATP · Round of 32
#20ATP
1893ELO
1842Hard ELO
$926kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 January 2023
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Davidovich Fokina A.
6-2 7-6
Nakashima B.
Davidovich Fokina A.
6772
Nakashima B.
2630

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-2 7-6 in the Adelaide 2 round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alejandro Davidovich Fokina came in ranked #20. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardBrandon Nakashima7-6(4) 6-4
2023-03-20Miami MastersR64hardAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-4 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Davidovich Fokina A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Davidovich Fokina A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Davidovich Fokina A.Nakashima B.
40
Serve
61
53
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.9
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
91
56
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
95
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
64
Tiebreaks·Even
85
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 70 days (−1.2)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.8+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1788
5.9Overall Elo 1893
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
0.7
Surface form
8.3
0.0Lost last 6
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
79
88

Davidovich Fokina A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast