Jelena Ostapenko vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich — Indian Wells Round of 64

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 64
Jelena Ostapenko
LAT24
Jelena Ostapenko
#31WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
BLR
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Ostapenko J.
7-5 3-6 6-2
Sasnovich A.
Ostapenko J.
7362
Sasnovich A.
5621

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-5 3-6 6-2 in the Indian Wells round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #31, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 64. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

3–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-03OstravaR32hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-2 6-2
2022-02-07St. PetersburgQFhardJelena Ostapenko7-6(5) 4-6 6-3
2018-07-02WimbledonR16grassJelena Ostapenko7-6(4) 6-0
2017-07-03WimbledonR128grassJelena Ostapenko6-0 1-6 6-3
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Sasnovich A.
10
Serve
37
45
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Ostapenko J.Sasnovich A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 186). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ostapenko J.Sasnovich A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
61
Break points saved·Even
79
79
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ostapenko J.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Sasnovich A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1697
5.9Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1726
4.6
H2H
5.4
6.1
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.5
Country comfort
4.7
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ostapenko J.Sasnovich A.
Freshness·Slight edge
91
100

Ostapenko J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[10]
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-6116-4
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[10]
Swiatek I.[1]
6-26-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Sakkari M.[7]
6-26-3
Quarter-finals
Swiatek I.[1]
Cirstea S.
6-26-3
Sakkari M.[7]
Kvitova P.[15]
4-67-56-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Muchova K.
7-642-66-4
Sabalenka A.[2]
Gauff C.[6]
6-46-0
R16
Swiatek I.[1]
Raducanu E.
6-36-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Gracheva V.
6-36-0
Kvitova P.[15]
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-67-611
Sabalenka A.[2]
Krejcikova B.[16]
6-32-66-4
Sakkari M.[7]
Pliskova K.[17]
6-45-76-3
Cirstea S.
Garcia C.[5]
6-44-67-5
Muchova K.
Vondrousova M.
6-46-726-4
Gauff C.[6]
Peterson R.
6-31-66-4
R32
Raducanu E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
6-12-66-4
Garcia C.[5]
Fernandez L.[30]
6-46-756-1
Rybakina E.[10]
Badosa P.[21]
6-37-5
Sakkari M.[7]
Kalinina A.[27]
3-66-26-4
Kvitova P.[15]
Ostapenko J.[24]
0-66-06-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Andreescu B.[32]
6-37-61
Krejcikova B.[16]
Wang X.
6-26-716-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Tsurenko L.
W/O
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[23]
6-43-66-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-46-4
Cirstea S.
Pera B.
6-36-1
Pegula J.[3]
Potapova A.[26]
3-66-47-5
Gauff C.[6]
Noskova L.
6-46-3
Peterson R.
Teichmann J.
3-66-36-1
Pliskova K.[17]
Kudermetova V.[11]
6-17-5
Vondrousova M.
Jabeur O.[4]
7-656-4
R64
Swiatek I.[1]
Liu C.
6-06-1
Andreescu B.[32]
Stearns P.
4-66-46-3
Cirstea S.
Keys M.[19]
6-1
Haddad Maia B.[13]
Siniakova K.
5-77-646-3
Pera B.
Samsonova L.[12]
2-67-687-66
Rybakina E.[10]
Kenin S.
7-667-65
Fernandez L.[30]
Navarro E.
6-26-4
Trevisan M.[23]
Brengle M.
5-76-16-2
Muchova K.
Azarenka V.[14]
7-616-3
Pliskova K.[17]
Kalinskaya A.
2-66-06-4
Kvitova P.[15]
Mandlik E.
6-17-5
Potapova A.[26]
Wang X.
4-67-646-2
Gauff C.[6]
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Noskova L.
Anisimova A.[31]
7-666-3
Teichmann J.
Bencic B.[9]
3-66-36-3
Krejcikova B.[16]
Yastremska D.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[2]
Rodina E.
6-26-0
Peterson R.
Zhang S.[22]
3-0
Pegula J.[3]
Giorgi C.
3-66-16-2
Ostapenko J.[24]
Sasnovich A.
7-53-66-2
Vondrousova M.
Bouzkova M.[28]
6-16-1
Kudermetova V.[11]
Blinkova A.
6-36-4
Gracheva V.
Martic P.[25]
6-36-2
Wang X.
Alexandrova E.[18]
6-26-3
Badosa P.[21]
Parrizas Diaz N.
6-27-5
Kasatkina D.[8]
Maria T.
6-26-1
Tsurenko L.
Vekic D.[29]
2-66-26-2
Jabeur O.[4]
Frech M.
4-66-46-1
Sakkari M.[7]
Rogers S.
2-66-46-0
Garcia C.[5]
Galfi D.
6-16-746-4
Kalinina A.[27]
Fruhvirtova L.
4-66-47-5
Raducanu E.
Linette M.[20]
7-636-2
R128
Navarro E.
Mcnally C.
1-66-16-1
Vondrousova M.
Marino R.
6-26-2
Brengle M.
Siegemund L.
7-656-4
Rogers S.
Volynets K.
6-44-66-1
Fruhvirtova L.
Sherif M.
0-66-26-3
Kalinskaya A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Begu I.
7-676-1
Gracheva V.
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-2
Galfi D.
Collins D.
6-46-4
Bucsa C.
Swan K.
7-667-5
Kenin S.
Stephens S.
6-46-1
Liu C.
Schmiedlova A.
7-656-3
Stearns P.
Masarova R.
4-66-46-4
Raducanu E.
Kovinic D.
6-26-3
Pera B.
Bronzetti L.
7-54-66-3
Muchova K.
Putintseva Y.
6-34-66-4
Parrizas Diaz N.
Cocciaretto E.
6-37-5
Maria T.
Paolini J.
7-56-1
Sasnovich A.
Kanepi K.
6-37-65
Wang X.
Danilovic O.
4-66-26-3
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
6-36-3
Teichmann J.
Krueger A.
6-16-4
Yastremska D.
Bondar A.
6-36-4
Wang X.
Mertens E.
6-36-1
Blinkova A.
Li A.
6-16-2
Cirstea S.
Birrell K.
6-36-2
Peterson R.
Kostyuk M.
7-55-77-5
Tsurenko L.
Zhu L.
6-46-3
Rodina E.
Cornet A.
6-27-5
Siniakova K.
Niemeier J.
7-56-4
Frech M.
Zanevska M.
4-66-46-2
Mandlik E.
Riske Amritraj A.
6-35-77-61