Jelena Ostapenko vs Aliaksandra SasnovichSt. Petersburg Quarter-final

St. Petersburg · WTA · Quarter-final
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 February 2022
hard
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Ostapenko J.
7-6 4-6 6-3
Sasnovich A.
Ostapenko J.
77462
Sasnovich A.
65631

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 7-6 4-6 6-3 in the St. Petersburg quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jelena Ostapenko extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 3-6 6-2
2022-10-03OstravaR32hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-2 6-2
2018-07-02WimbledonR16grassJelena Ostapenko7-6(4) 6-0
2017-07-03WimbledonR128grassJelena Ostapenko6-0 1-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ostapenko J.Sasnovich A.
10
Serve
37
45
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.3
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
61
Break points saved·Even
79
79
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
87
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.9+97 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Hard Elo 1697
5.9Overall Elo 1855
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1726
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
100

Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast