Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Jelena OstapenkoOstrava Round of 32

Ostrava · WTA · Round of 32
#143WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 October 2022
hard
#29WTA
1855ELO
1794Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Sasnovich A.
6-2 6-2
Ostapenko J.
Sasnovich A.
662
Ostapenko J.
220

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Jelena Ostapenko 6-2 6-2 in the Ostrava round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #29, leading the head-to-head 4–0, defending last year's round of 16. Aliaksandra Sasnovich claimed a first win over Jelena Ostapenko in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardJelena Ostapenko7-5 3-6 6-2
2022-02-07St. PetersburgQFhardJelena Ostapenko7-6(5) 4-6 6-3
2018-07-02WimbledonR16grassJelena Ostapenko7-6(4) 6-0
2017-07-03WimbledonR128grassJelena Ostapenko6-0 1-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Ostapenko J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Ostapenko J.
37
Serve
10
35
Return
45

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
44%
Service points won·Even
56%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
56%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
5.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
88
Break points saved·Even
79
79
Break points won·Slight edge
93
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
96
Tiebreaks·Dominant
25
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1697
Surface ELO
5.9+97 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1726
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1855
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.2
Surface form
6.2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
3.1
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
93

Sasnovich A.: 18 days rest · Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast