Aryna Sabalenka vs Donna VekicAustralian Open Quarter-final

Australian Open · WTA · Quarter-final
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
#34WTA
1807ELO
1736Hard ELO
$625kYTD
$11MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
Sabalenka A.
6-3 6-2
Vekic D.
Sabalenka A.
662
Vekic D.
320

Aryna Sabalenka defeated Donna Vekic 6-3 6-2 in the Australian Open quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, defending last year's round of 16. Aryna Sabalenka narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19DubaiR32hardDonna Vekic6-7(5) 6-3 6-0
2022-10-10San DiegoQFhardDonna Vekic6-4 6-7(5) 6-1
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR32hardDonna Vekic6-4 3-6 7-6(3)
2019-07-29San JoseSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Vekic D.

Vekic D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sabalenka A.Vekic D.
96
Serve
6
39
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 165). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
86
Break points won·Slight edge
100
91
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
77
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+466 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1736
10.0Overall Elo 2220
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1807
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.5
Surface form
8.1
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
7.5
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.9
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
96

Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d) · Vekic D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw

R128
Osorio C.
Udvardy P.
6-46-1
Andreescu B.
Bouzkova M.[25]
6-26-4
Krejcikova B.[20]
Bejlek S.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Gibson T.
6-36-4
Keys M.[10]
Blinkova A.
6-43-66-2
Azarenka V.[24]
Kenin S.
6-47-63
Shnaider D.
Kucova K.
7-667-5
Kudermetova V.[9]
Zanevska M.
6-27-64
Townsend T.
Parry D.
6-16-1
Alexandrova E.[19]
Bonaventure Y.
6-26-1
Garcia C.[4]
Sebov K.
6-36-0
Rogers S.
Hartono A.
6-46-3
Davis L.
Kovinic D.
1-67-56-1
Mertens E.[26]
Muguruza G.
3-67-636-1
Schmiedlova A.
Trevisan M.[21]
6-36-2
Giorgi C.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-1
Parrizas Diaz N.
Haddad Maia B.[14]
7-6116-2
Kontaveit A.[16]
Grabher J.
6-26-3
Kvitova P.[15]
Van Uytvanck A.
7-636-2
Gadecki O.
Kudermetova P.
7-56-1
Ostapenko J.[17]
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Kostyuk M.
Anisimova A.[28]
6-36-4
Gauff C.[7]
Siniakova K.
6-16-4
Birrell K.
Kanepi K.[31]
3-67-646-1
Samsonova L.[18]
Paolini J.
6-26-4
Begu I.[27]
Mandlik E.
3-67-616-2
Sabalenka A.[5]
Martincova T.
6-16-4
Baindl K.
Rakhimova K.
7-56-786-1
Bencic B.[12]
Tomova V.
6-16-2
Potapova A.
Stephens S.
7-626-4
Gracheva V.
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-16-1
Mcnally C.
Pigossi L.
7-56-1
Zheng Q.[29]
Galfi D.
6-06-2
Raducanu E.
Korpatsch T.
6-36-2
Pegula J.[3]
Cristian J.
6-06-1
Podoroska N.
Jeanjean L.
6-06-3
Sakkari M.[6]
Yuan Y.
6-16-4
Zhang S.[23]
Tig P.
6-14-66-0
Martic P.
Golubic V.
6-36-4
Liu C.
Brengle M.
6-36-4
Vekic D.
Selekhmeteva O.
6-22-67-67
Fruhvirtova L.
Fourlis J.
6-06-4
Vondrousova M.
Riske Amritraj A.
5-76-16-4
Jabeur O.[2]
Zidansek T.
7-684-66-1
Linette M.
Sherif M.
7-56-1
Siegemund L.
Bronzetti L.
2-66-46-3
Wang X.
Hunter S.
7-626-4
Bondar A.
Bogdan A.
6-22-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fruhvirtova B.
7-56-2
Pera B.
Uchijima M.
2-66-36-1
Muchova K.
Tsurenko L.
6-26-1
Fernandez L.
Cornet A.
7-56-2
Swiatek I.[1]
Niemeier J.
6-47-5
Rybakina E.[22]
Cocciaretto E.
7-56-3
Juvan K.
Janicijevic S.
7-56-1
Collins D.[13]
Kalinskaya A.
7-55-76-4
Zhu L.
Marino R.
6-26-4
Putintseva Y.
Cirstea S.
2-66-46-3
Pliskova K.[30]
Wang X.
6-16-3
Volynets K.
Rodina E.
6-36-2
Bucsa C.
Lys E.
2-66-06-2
Kalinina A.
Vandeweghe C.
6-36-1
Teichmann J.[32]
Dart H.
7-56-1
Stefanini L.
Maria T.
3-67-56-4