Donna Vekic vs Aryna SabalenkaSan Diego Quarter-final

San Diego · WTA · Quarter-final
#34WTA
1807ELO
1736Hard ELO
$625kYTD
$11MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 October 2022
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Vekic D.
6-4 6-7 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Vekic D.
66562
Sabalenka A.
47711

Donna Vekic defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 6-7 6-1 in the San Diego quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1. Donna Vekic extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Donna Vekic came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 6–7 6–1.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19DubaiR32hardDonna Vekic6-7(5) 6-3 6-0
2023-01-16Australian OpenQFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 6-2
2021-07-24Tokyo OlympicsR32hardDonna Vekic6-4 3-6 7-6(3)
2019-07-29San JoseSFhardAryna Sabalenka6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Vekic D.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Vekic D.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vekic D.Sabalenka A.
6
Serve
96
36
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
51%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
67
98
Break points saved·Clear edge
86
98
Break points won·Slight edge
91
100
Deciding sets·Clear edge
77
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
33
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 56 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1736
Surface ELO
10.0+466 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1807
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2220
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.9
Surface form
5.7
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.7
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
88

Vekic D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast