

Donna Vekic defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6-4 3-6 7-6 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1. Donna Vekic extended the head-to-head to 3–2.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-19 | Dubai | R32 | hard | Donna Vekic | 6-7(5) 6-3 6-0 |
| 2023-01-16 | Australian Open | QF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-3 6-2 |
| 2022-10-10 | San Diego | QF | hard | Donna Vekic | 6-4 6-7(5) 6-1 |
| 2019-07-29 | San Jose | SF | hard | Aryna Sabalenka | 6-4 6-3 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Vekic D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Sabalenka A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 21 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About