Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista Agut — Australian Open Round of 16

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 16
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 January 2023
hard
Roberto Bautista Agut
ESP24
Roberto Bautista Agut
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Paul T.
6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5
Bautista Agut R.
Paul T.
64673
Bautista Agut R.
26251

Tommy Paul defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5 in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, defending last year's round of 64. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in four sets, 6–2 4–6 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

3–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayTommy Paul6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassTommy Paul6-2 7-6(3) 6-2
2022-10-31Paris MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2021-08-09Canada MastersR32hardRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Bautista Agut R.
71
Serve
23
54
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paul T.Bautista Agut R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paul T.Bautista Agut R.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
85
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
87
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paul T.
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Bautista Agut R.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+213 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1668
7.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1700
5.4
H2H
4.6
5.2
Surface form
6.4
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
2.7
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paul T.Bautista Agut R.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 56%
Final
Djokovic N.[4]
Tsitsipas S.[3]
6-37-647-65
Semi-finals
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Khachanov K.[18]
7-626-46-766-3
Djokovic N.[4]
Paul T.
7-56-16-2
Quarter-finals
Khachanov K.[18]
Korda S.[29]
7-656-33-0
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Lehecka J.
6-37-626-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Rublev A.[5]
6-16-26-4
Paul T.
Shelton B.
7-666-35-76-4
R16
Shelton B.
Wolf J.
6-756-26-747-646-2
Khachanov K.[18]
Nishioka Y.[31]
6-06-07-64
Korda S.[29]
Hurkacz H.[10]
3-66-36-21-67-67
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Sinner J.[15]
6-46-43-64-66-3
Lehecka J.
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
4-66-37-627-63
Djokovic N.[4]
De Minaur A.[22]
6-26-16-2
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.[24]
6-24-66-27-5
Rublev A.[5]
Rune H.[9]
6-33-66-34-67-69
R32
Wolf J.
Mmoh M.
6-46-16-2
De Minaur A.[22]
Bonzi B.
7-606-26-1
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Murray A.
6-16-776-36-4
Djokovic N.[4]
Dimitrov G.[27]
7-676-36-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Mcdonald M.
7-666-36-2
Khachanov K.[18]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-36-43-67-69
Hurkacz H.[10]
Shapovalov D.[20]
7-636-41-64-66-3
Korda S.[29]
Medvedev D.[7]
7-676-37-64
Sinner J.[15]
Fucsovics M.
4-64-66-16-26-0
Lehecka J.
Norrie C.[11]
6-786-33-66-16-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Cerundolo F.[28]
6-13-66-16-4
Rublev A.[5]
Evans D.[25]
6-46-26-3
Rune H.[9]
Humbert U.
6-46-27-65
Shelton B.
Popyrin A.
6-37-646-4
Paul T.
Brooksby J.
6-16-46-3
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Griekspoor T.
6-27-656-3
R64
Shapovalov D.[20]
Daniel T.
6-37-637-5
Korda S.[29]
Watanuki Y.
6-27-56-4
Rune H.[9]
Cressy M.
7-56-46-4
Bonzi B.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
4-64-67-656-17-64
De Minaur A.[22]
Mannarino A.
7-634-66-46-1
Mmoh M.
Zverev A.[12]
6-716-46-36-2
Paul T.
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
6-22-66-746-36-4
Dimitrov G.[27]
Djere L.
6-36-26-0
Murray A.
Kokkinakis T.
4-66-747-656-37-5
Nishioka Y.[31]
Svrcina D.
6-36-46-2
Hurkacz H.[10]
Sonego L.
3-67-632-66-36-3
Mcdonald M.
Nadal R.[1]
6-46-47-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Kubler J.
6-45-76-46-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Millman J.
7-56-26-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Hijikata R.
6-36-06-2
Griekspoor T.
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
6-46-46-4
Fucsovics M.
Harris L.
6-26-35-76-4
Sinner J.[15]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-26-2
Norrie C.[11]
Lestienne C.
6-33-67-626-3
Lehecka J.
Eubanks C.
6-46-43-66-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Moutet C.
3-66-46-27-5
Rublev A.[5]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-26-46-726-3
Popyrin A.
Fritz T.[8]
6-747-626-46-766-2
Shelton B.
Jarry N.
7-637-637-5
Wolf J.
Schwartzman D.[23]
6-16-46-4
Brooksby J.
Ruud C.[2]
6-37-56-746-2
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Molcan A.
3-63-66-36-26-2
Humbert U.
Kudla D.
6-26-756-26-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Shang J.
6-46-46-1
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Holt B.
4-62-66-36-26-2
Djokovic N.[4]
Couacaud E.
6-16-756-26-0
Evans D.[25]
Chardy J.
6-46-46-1
R128
Kubler J.
Baez S.
6-46-46-4
Shang J.
Otte O.
6-26-46-727-5
Millman J.
Huesler M.
6-787-56-726-26-3
Norrie C.[11]
Van Assche L.
7-636-06-3
Lestienne C.
Monteiro T.
6-37-626-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Purcell M.
4-66-36-47-611
Chardy J.
Galan D.
1-67-56-16-4
Djere L.
Bergs Z.
6-41-66-46-1
Zverev A.[12]
Varillas J.
4-66-15-77-636-4
Murray A.
Berrettini M.[13]
6-36-34-66-777-66
Eubanks C.
Kwon S.
6-36-716-34-66-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Cachin P.
7-646-17-63
Svrcina D.
Munar J.
6-36-26-2
Wolf J.
Thompson J.
6-33-66-47-5
Paul T.
Struff J.
6-17-666-2
Holt B.
Vukic A.
6-41-66-33-66-3
Fucsovics M.
Coria F.
4-67-52-67-666-2
Sonego L.
Borges N.
7-646-36-766-1
Nadal R.[1]
Draper J.
7-52-66-46-1
Mcdonald M.
Nakashima B.
7-657-611-66-7106-4
Nishioka Y.[31]
Ymer M.
6-46-27-5
Khachanov K.[18]
Zapata Miralles B.
7-636-26-0
Tiafoe F.[16]
Altmaier D.
6-36-36-757-66
Hurkacz H.[10]
Martinez P.
7-616-26-2
Daniel T.
Escobedo E.
7-56-23-66-3
Shapovalov D.[20]
Lajovic D.
6-44-66-46-1
Korda S.[29]
Garin C.
6-41-66-36-2
Watanuki Y.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-36-2
Medvedev D.[7]
Giron M.
6-06-16-2
Tsitsipas S.[3]
Halys Q.
6-36-47-66
Hijikata R.
Hanfmann Y.
4-64-66-37-656-3
Griekspoor T.
Kotov P.
6-37-636-3
Van De Zandschulp B.[32]
Ivashka I.
6-33-67-56-3
Harris L.
Musetti L.[17]
6-46-16-702-67-64
Etcheverry T.
Barrere G.
3-66-36-46-4
Sinner J.[15]
Edmund K.
6-46-06-2
Lehecka J.
Coric B.[21]
6-36-36-3
Cerundolo F.[28]
Pella G.
6-46-46-3
Moutet C.
Wu Y.
6-45-76-24-67-5
Molcan A.
Wawrinka S.
6-736-31-67-626-4
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Pospisil V.
1-67-647-636-3
Rublev A.[5]
Thiem D.
6-36-46-2
Evans D.[25]
Bagnis F.
6-44-66-46-4
Kudla D.
Safiullin R.
3-67-57-666-3
Humbert U.
Gasquet R.
6-36-46-3
Cressy M.
Ramos A.
7-627-53-66-3
Rune H.[9]
Krajinovic F.
6-26-36-4
Bonzi B.
Bellucci M.
4-66-37-656-4
De Minaur A.[22]
Hsu Y.
6-26-26-3
Dimitrov G.[27]
Karatsev A.
7-637-56-2
Couacaud E.
Dellien H.
6-47-56-0
Djokovic N.[4]
Carballes Baena R.
6-36-46-0
Popyrin A.
Tseng C.
4-67-656-757-646-1
Shelton B.
Zhang Z.
4-66-36-22-67-64
Jarry N.
Kecmanovic M.[26]
6-36-47-63
Schwartzman D.[23]
Krutykh O.
6-46-766-37-65
Kokkinakis T.
Fognini F.
6-16-26-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[30]
Bublik A.
6-06-733-66-46-3
Brooksby J.
Oconnell C.
3-66-26-36-2
Ruud C.[2]
Machac T.
6-37-666-756-3
Fritz T.[8]
Basilashvili N.
6-46-24-67-5
Mmoh M.
Lokoli L.
4-62-67-676-46-2
Mannarino A.
Isner J.
6-757-686-26-2
Bautista Agut R.[24]
Sousa J.
6-36-26-2