Tommy Paul vs Roberto Bautista AgutParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
#183ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
Paul T.
6-4 6-4
Bautista Agut R.
Paul T.
662
Bautista Agut R.
440

Tommy Paul defeated Roberto Bautista Agut 6-4 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayTommy Paul6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassTommy Paul6-2 7-6(3) 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardTommy Paul6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5
2021-08-09Canada MastersR32hardRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Bautista Agut R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Bautista Agut R.
71
Serve
23
54
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
63%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
2.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
85
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Clear edge
87
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
87
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+213 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1668
7.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1700
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.1
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.2
Minutes 14d
4.9
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
97

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bautista Agut R.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%