Roberto Bautista Agut vs Tommy PaulCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#180ATP
1700ELO
1668Hard ELO
$430kYTD
$20MCAREER
38 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 August 2021
hard
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Bautista Agut R.
6-3 6-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
662
Paul T.
340

Roberto Bautista Agut defeated Tommy Paul 6-3 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 4–2. Roberto Bautista Agut narrowed the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

24
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR64clayTommy Paul6-1 6-4
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassTommy Paul6-2 7-6(3) 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR16hardTommy Paul6-2 4-6 6-2 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2021-05-10Rome MastersR64clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR32clayRoberto Bautista Agut6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bautista Agut R.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Bautista Agut R.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bautista Agut R.Paul T.
23
Serve
71
28
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
60%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.9
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
93
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
75
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1668
Surface ELO
7.3+213 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1700
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
2.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
4.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
88

Bautista Agut R.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CMainly clear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 67%