Brandon Nakashima vs Tommy Pauls Hertogenbosch Round of 32

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Round of 32
#32ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 June 2022
grass
#24ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Nakashima B.
6-7 7-6 7-6
Paul T.
Nakashima B.
6477772
Paul T.
7765621

Brandon Nakashima defeated Tommy Paul 6-7 7-6 7-6 in the s Hertogenbosch round of 32 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24. Brandon Nakashima extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-21ViennaR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-4 6-4
2024-08-05Canada MastersR32hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 6-7(5) 6-1
2023-05-22LyonQFclayBrandon Nakashima6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
13
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
4.6Grass Elo 1757
Surface ELO
5.4+44 Grass Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
88
88

Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast