Adrian Mannarino vs Brandon Nakashimas Hertogenbosch Quarter-final

s Hertogenbosch · ATP · Quarter-final
#49ATP
1673ELO
1653Grass ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 6 June 2022
grass
#32ATP
1839ELO
1757Grass ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Mannarino A.
6-7 6-1 6-4
Nakashima B.
Mannarino A.
65662
Nakashima B.
77141

Adrian Mannarino defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-7 6-1 6-4 in the s Hertogenbosch quarter-final on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32. Adrian Mannarino extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 7-6(4)
2022-02-14Delray BeachR16hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 2-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
56
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
66
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Grass Elo 1653
Surface ELO
5.9+104 Grass Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.1
Surface form
6.1
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
6.9
4.0
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
90

Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast