Adrian Mannarino vs Brandon NakashimaDelray Beach Round of 16

Delray Beach · ATP · Round of 16
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 February 2022
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Mannarino A.
6-4 2-6 7-5
Nakashima B.
Mannarino A.
6272
Nakashima B.
4651

Adrian Mannarino defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 2-6 7-5 in the Delray Beach round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #32. Adrian Mannarino extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-06s HertogenboschQFgrassAdrian Mannarino6-7(5) 6-1 6-4
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersR128hardBrandon Nakashima6-2 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mannarino A.Nakashima B.
37
Serve
61
32
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.5
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
65
56
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
66
13
Deciding sets·Slight edge
72
64
Tiebreaks·Dominant
38
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1647
Surface ELO
6.6+140 Hard Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1673
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
88

Mannarino A.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Nakashima B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast