Brandon Nakashima vs Adrian MannarinoIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#31ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 March 2022
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Nakashima B.
6-2 7-6
Mannarino A.
Nakashima B.
6772
Mannarino A.
2640

Brandon Nakashima defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-2 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Brandon Nakashima came in ranked #31, defending last year's round of 64. Brandon Nakashima claimed a first win over Adrian Mannarino in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-06-06s HertogenboschQFgrassAdrian Mannarino6-7(5) 6-1 6-4
2022-02-14Delray BeachR16hardAdrian Mannarino6-4 2-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Nakashima B.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nakashima B.Mannarino A.
61
Serve
37
23
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
75%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
35%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.5
4.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
65
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
13
66
Deciding sets·Slight edge
64
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
89
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+140 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1647
6.8Overall Elo 1839
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1673
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
7.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.5
Country comfort
5.1
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
73

Nakashima B.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Mannarino A.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 10%