Madison Keys vs Liudmila SamsonovaAdelaide 2 Quarter-final

Adelaide 2 · WTA · Quarter-final
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
#69WTA
1775ELO
1723Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$8.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
Keys M.
6-3 3-6 6-3
Samsonova L.
Keys M.
6362
Samsonova L.
3631

Madison Keys defeated Liudmila Samsonova 6-3 3-6 6-3 in the Adelaide 2 quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Madison Keys extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Madison Keys closed it out in three sets, 6–3 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-01-06AdelaideSFhardMadison Keys5-7 7-5 3-0 RET
2024-05-20StrasbourgSFclayMadison Keys6-1 6-3
2024-04-22MadridR32clayMadison Keys6-2 6-3
2023-08-28US OpenR32hardMadison Keys5-7 6-2 6-2
2021-06-14BerlinQFgrassLiudmila Samsonova7-6(4) 2-6 7-6(0)

Serve vs return

This season
Keys M.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Samsonova L.

Samsonova L.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Keys M.Samsonova L.
36
Serve
39
29
Return
5

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.1
4.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
69
Break points saved·Even
96
93
Break points won·Even
90
94
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
61
Tiebreaks·Dominant
96
55

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+197 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1723
6.8Overall Elo 1987
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1775
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.5
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
87
90

Keys M.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Samsonova L.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast