Daria Kasatkina vs Garbine MuguruzaSydney Quarter-final

Sydney · WTA · Quarter-final
#65WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 January 2022
hard
32 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWW
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-4
Muguruza G.
Kasatkina D.
662
Muguruza G.
440

Daria Kasatkina defeated Garbine Muguruza 6-4 6-4 in the Sydney quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Garbine Muguruza came in leading the head-to-head 3–2. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Daria Kasatkina edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-02-24DohaR64hardGarbine Muguruza7-5 5-7 6-3
2018-05-07MadridR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 4-6 6-3
2018-02-19DubaiSFhardDaria Kasatkina3-6 7-6(11) 6-1
2017-01-02BrisbaneR16hardGarbine Muguruza7-5 3-6 7-6(7)
2015-04-27MarrakechR32clayGarbine Muguruza6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Muguruza G.

Muguruza G.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Serve advantage — Kasatkina D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Muguruza G.
0
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
40%
Break points saved·Even
54%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
3.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
90
Break points won·Clear edge
100
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
67
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 61 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.1
Surface form
7.2
Fatigue & Travel
6.6
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
90

Kasatkina D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast