Daria Kasatkina vs Garbine MuguruzaDubai Semi-final

Dubai · WTA · Semi-final
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2018
hard
32 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWW
Kasatkina D.
3-6 7-6 6-1
Muguruza G.
Kasatkina D.
371362
Muguruza G.
661111

Daria Kasatkina defeated Garbine Muguruza 3-6 7-6 6-1 in the Dubai semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Garbine Muguruza came in leading the head-to-head 3–2, defending last year's round of 32. Daria Kasatkina narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-10SydneyQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2020-02-24DohaR64hardGarbine Muguruza7-5 5-7 6-3
2018-05-07MadridR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 4-6 6-3
2017-01-02BrisbaneR16hardGarbine Muguruza7-5 3-6 7-6(7)
2015-04-27MarrakechR32clayGarbine Muguruza6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Muguruza G.

Muguruza G.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kasatkina D.Muguruza G.
0
Serve
95
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
59%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 196). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
90
Break points won·Clear edge
100
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
93
67
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
47
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 54%