Garbine Muguruza vs Daria KasatkinaBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · WTA · Round of 16
32 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2017
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Muguruza G.
7-5 3-6 7-6
Kasatkina D.
Muguruza G.
73792
Kasatkina D.
56671

Garbine Muguruza defeated Daria Kasatkina 7-5 3-6 7-6 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in leading the head-to-head 3–2. Garbine Muguruza narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-01-10SydneyQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-4
2020-02-24DohaR64hardGarbine Muguruza7-5 5-7 6-3
2018-05-07MadridR16clayDaria Kasatkina6-2 4-6 6-3
2018-02-19DubaiSFhardDaria Kasatkina3-6 7-6(11) 6-1
2015-04-27MarrakechR32clayGarbine Muguruza6-4 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Muguruza G.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Muguruza G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muguruza G.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
59%
54%
Return points won·Even
45%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
72
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
80
Break points won·Clear edge
88
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
67
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
69
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
32°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%