Nicolas Jarry vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliCampinas CH Round of 16

Campinas CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 November 2021
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Jarry N.
6-1 6-2
Ugo Carabelli C.
Jarry N.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
120

Nicolas Jarry defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-1 6-2 in the Campinas CH round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32, but Nicolas Jarry had arrived on a 5-match winning run. Nicolas Jarry claimed a first win over Camilo Ugo Carabelli in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoR32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli5-7 6-3 7-6(9)

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jarry N.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.9
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
48
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
98
90
Break points won·Dominant
4
62
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
6.3+99 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1759
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.3
Surface form
5.8
9.05-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.9
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast