Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas JarrySantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 February 2025
clay
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.
5-7 6-3 7-6
Jarry N.
Ugo Carabelli C.
567112
Jarry N.
73691

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Nicolas Jarry 5-7 6-3 7-6 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Jarry N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Jarry N.
24
Serve
28
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.0
10.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Dominant
62
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+99 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1642
6.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1648
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
4.6
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.9
0.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 29%