Sebastian Baez vs Francisco CerundoloCampinas CH Semi-final

Campinas CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 November 2021
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Baez S.
4-6 6-1 6-2
Cerundolo F.
Baez S.
4662
Cerundolo F.
6121

Sebastian Baez defeated Francisco Cerundolo 4-6 6-1 6-2 in the Campinas CH semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, defending the title, but Sebastian Baez had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19Rio de JaneiroSFclaySebastian Baez7-5 6-0
2022-07-11BastadFclayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Cerundolo F.
7
Serve
26
43
Return
99

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
86
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1718
Surface ELO
7.1+151 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1931
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.5
Surface form
5.5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.3
Minutes 14d
6.5
0.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
98

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Cerundolo F.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast