Sebastian Baez vs Francisco CerundoloRio de Janeiro Semi-final

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Semi-final
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
clay
#22ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Baez S.
7-5 6-0
Cerundolo F.
Baez S.
762
Cerundolo F.
50

Sebastian Baez defeated Francisco Cerundolo 7-5 6-0 in the Rio de Janeiro semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #22, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 16, but Sebastian Baez had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 4 on clay. Sebastian Baez claimed a first win over Francisco Cerundolo in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-11BastadFclayFrancisco Cerundolo7-6(4) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Cerundolo F.
1
Serve
23
44
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (138 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
88
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Even
86
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
98

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cerundolo F.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
29°CDrizzle
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 70%