Francisco Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezBastad Final

Bastad · ATP · Final
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 11 July 2022
clay
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Cerundolo F.
7-6 6-2
Baez S.
Cerundolo F.
7762
Baez S.
6420

Francisco Cerundolo defeated Sebastian Baez 7-6 6-2 in the Bastad final on clay. The result followed the form book — Francisco Cerundolo came in ranked #21, defending last year's round of 32. Francisco Cerundolo claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19Rio de JaneiroSFclaySebastian Baez7-5 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Cerundolo F.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Cerundolo F.Baez S.
23
Serve
1
100
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
87
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
86
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
94
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
7.1+151 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1718
7.0Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1759
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.2
Surface form
6.7
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.6
7.0
3-set count
4.0
2.0
Prev. match
7.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
93

Cerundolo F.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Baez S.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%