Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Nicolas JarryWarsaw CH Quarter-final

Warsaw CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 August 2021
clay
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-2 6-2
Jarry N.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Jarry N.
220

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Nicolas Jarry 6-2 6-2 in the Warsaw CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24SantiagoR32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli5-7 6-3 7-6(9)

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Jarry N.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
9.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
98
Break points won·Dominant
62
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.3+99 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Clay Elo 1642
6.3Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1648
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.9
Surface form
6.1
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
1.9
Minutes 14d
4.0
0.0
3-set count
0.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast