Leylah Fernandez vs Dayana YastremskaTokyo Olympics Round of 64

Tokyo Olympics · WTA · Round of 64
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Saturday, 24 July 2021
hard
#67WTA
1792ELO
1733Hard ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Fernandez L.
6-3 3-6 6-0
Yastremska D.
Fernandez L.
6362
Yastremska D.
3601

Leylah Fernandez defeated Dayana Yastremska 6-3 3-6 6-0 in the Tokyo Olympics round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #24. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Dayana Yastremska in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardDayana Yastremska6-1 6-2
2025-06-16NottinghamQFgrassDayana Yastremska6-3 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Fernandez L.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Yastremska D.
60
Serve
11
27
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
58%
56%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.8
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
77
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
89
Break points won·Even
95
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
90
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 26 days (−0.3)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+52 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1733
6.1Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
3.9Overall Elo 1792
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.7
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
8.0
7.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Fernandez L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Yastremska D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Draw