Andrea Pellegrino vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliBiella 7 CH Round of 32

Biella 7 CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#138ATP
1674ELO
1654Clay ELO
$320kYTD
$1.3MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 May 2021
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Pellegrino A.
3-6 7-5 6-1
Ugo Carabelli C.
Pellegrino A.
3762
Ugo Carabelli C.
6511

Andrea Pellegrino defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 3-6 7-5 6-1 in the Biella 7 CH round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, but Andrea Pellegrino had been the form player, winning 5 of their last 8 on clay.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Pellegrino A.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pellegrino A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Pellegrino A.Ugo Carabelli C.
Serve
24
Return
36

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
58%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.2
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
78
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
90
Break points won·Dominant
35
62
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
96
Tiebreaks·Even
73
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1654
Surface ELO
7.5+87 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1759
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.4
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
84
98

Pellegrino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d) · Ugo Carabelli C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast