Andrey Rublev vs Taylor FritzDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
hard
#10ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Rublev A.
6-3 6-1
Fritz T.
Rublev A.
662
Fritz T.
310

Andrey Rublev defeated Taylor Fritz 6-3 6-1 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Taylor Fritz came in ranked #10, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-27Canada MastersQFhardTaylor Fritz6-3 7-6(4)
2024-04-22Madrid MastersSFclayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-3
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersSFclayAndrey Rublev5-7 6-1 6-3
2022-08-15Cincinnati MastersR16hardTaylor Fritz6-7(4) 6-2 7-5
2022-03-07Indian Wells MastersSFhardTaylor Fritz7-5 6-4
2021-11-01Paris MastersR32hardTaylor Fritz7-5 7-6(2)
2018-11-05NextGen FinalsRRhardAndrey Rublev4-2 1-4 3-4(4) 4-3(2) 4-2
2018-03-05Indian Wells MastersR64hardTaylor Fritz6-4 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Fritz T.

Fritz T.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Fritz T.
55
Serve
76
52
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
79%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Even
67%
70%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
66%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
11.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
87
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Clear edge
72
60
Deciding sets·Even
97
98
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
72

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fritz T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 61 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 57%