Sebastian Baez vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliSantiago CH Quarter-final

Santiago CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 March 2021
clay
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
Baez S.
6-2 6-1
Ugo Carabelli C.
Baez S.
662
Ugo Carabelli C.
210

Sebastian Baez defeated Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-2 6-1 in the Santiago CH quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresQFclaySebastian Baez7-6(5) 6-2
2025-05-18HamburgR32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 2-6 6-4
2025-02-24SantiagoSFclaySebastian Baez6-1 3-6 6-2
2025-02-17Rio de JaneiroSFclaySebastian Baez3-6 6-1 6-1
2025-02-10Buenos AiresR32claySebastian Baez6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Ugo Carabelli C.
7
Serve
24
43
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Clear edge
86
62
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
96
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
83
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Baez S.: 15 days rest · Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast