Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Sebastian Baez — Hamburg Round of 32

Hamburg · ATP · Round of 32
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ARG
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
#76ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 18 May 2025 ·
clay
Sebastian Baez
ARG8
Sebastian Baez
#50ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-3 2-6 6-4
Baez S.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6262
Baez S.
3641

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 2-6 6-4 in the Hamburg round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #50, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's semi-final. Camilo Ugo Carabelli narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

2–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09Buenos AiresQFclaySebastian Baez7-6 6-2
2025-02-24SantiagoSFclaySebastian Baez6-1 3-6 6-2
2025-02-10Buenos AiresR32claySebastian Baez6-4 6-4
2020-09-25M25 Jablonec Nad Nisou 1QFclaySebastian Baez6-1 6-7(2) 6-3
2016-10-31Argentina F12R32claySebastian Baez3-6 6-3 6-3
2016-05-30Argentina F9Q64clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-4 6-2
2016-05-23Argentina F8R32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.Baez S.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.3
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (87 vs 81). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ugo Carabelli C.Baez S.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
50
75
Break points saved·Slight edge
81
86
Break points won·Dominant
41
77
Deciding sets·Even
94
90
Tiebreaks·Dominant
3
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Ugo Carabelli C.Baez S.
Freshness·Dominant
94
64

Ugo Carabelli C.: 8 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast

Draw