Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno BustaHamburg Semi-final

Hamburg · ATP · Semi-final
#16ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2019
clay
#65ATP
1801ELO
1767Clay ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Rublev A.
4-6 7-5 6-1
Carreno Busta P.
Rublev A.
4762
Carreno Busta P.
6511

Andrey Rublev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 4-6 7-5 6-1 in the Hamburg semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingR32hardAndrey Rublev6-0 4-6 6-4
2015-05-10Rome MastersQ1clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(6) 6-3
2015-03-25Miami MastersR128hardAndrey Rublev1-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Carreno Busta P.
13
Serve
64
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Rublev A.: 15 days rest · Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 77%