Andrey Rublev vs Pablo Carreno BustaMiami Masters Round of 128

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 25 March 2015
hard
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
Rublev A.
1-6 6-1 6-4
Carreno Busta P.
Rublev A.
1662
Carreno Busta P.
6141

Andrey Rublev defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 1-6 6-1 6-4 in the Miami Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-26BeijingR32hardAndrey Rublev6-0 4-6 6-4
2019-07-22HamburgSFclayAndrey Rublev4-6 7-5 6-1
2015-05-10Rome MastersQ1clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(6) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Carreno Busta P.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Carreno Busta P.
55
Serve
21
52
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
89
78
Break points saved·Even
100
97
Break points won·Slight edge
72
61
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
80
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
92

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
27°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 61%