Francisco Cerundolo defeated Carlos Alcaraz 6-2 6-4 in the M15 Palmanova 1 semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Francisco Cerundolo claimed a first win over Carlos Alcaraz in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-19 | Laver Cup | RR | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-2 6-1 |
| 2025-04-07 | Monte Carlo Masters | R32 | clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 3-6 6-0 6-1 |
| 2025-03-05 | Indian Wells Masters | QF | hard | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-3 7-6 |
| 2024-06-17 | Queen's Club | R32 | grass | Carlos Alcaraz | 6-1 7-5 |
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About