Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco CerundoloQueen's Club Round of 32

Queen's Club · ATP · Round of 32
#2ATP
2162ELO
2029Grass ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 June 2024
grass
#21ATP
1931ELO
1784Grass ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
6-1 7-5
Cerundolo F.
Alcaraz C.
672
Cerundolo F.
150

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Francisco Cerundolo 6-1 7-5 in the Queen's Club round of 32 on grass. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-1
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR32clayCarlos Alcaraz3-6 6-0 6-1
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
40%
Break points saved·Even
66%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (170 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
10.0+246 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1784
9.5Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
6.6
10.010-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 48%