Carlos Alcaraz vs Francisco CerundoloMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#21ATP
1931ELO
1868Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$11MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Alcaraz C.
3-6 6-0 6-1
Cerundolo F.
Alcaraz C.
3662
Cerundolo F.
6011

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Francisco Cerundolo 3-6 6-0 6-1 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-19Laver CupRRhardCarlos Alcaraz6-2 6-1
2025-03-05Indian Wells MastersQFhardCarlos Alcaraz6-3 7-6(4)
2024-06-17Queen's ClubR32grassCarlos Alcaraz6-1 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Cerundolo F.

Cerundolo F.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Alcaraz C.Cerundolo F.
Serve
23
Return
100

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
63%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (103 vs 87). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
99
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
100
94
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+233 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Clay Elo 1868
9.5Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.9
Surface form
7.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cerundolo F.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%