Jan Lennard Struff defeated Pablo Carreno Busta 7-6 6-7 7-6 in the Auckland quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 5–0. Jan Lennard Struff claimed a first win over Pablo Carreno Busta in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | Davis Cup Finals SF: ESP vs GER | RR | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 7-6(6) |
| 2020-11-02 | Paris Masters | R32 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 7-6(3) 6-2 |
| 2019-07-22 | Hamburg | R16 | clay | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-1 7-6(4) |
| 2016-08-22 | Winston-Salem | R32 | hard | Pablo Carreno Busta | 6-4 7-5 |
| 2014-04-13 | Monte Carlo Masters | Q1 | clay | Pablo Carreno Busta | 5-7 6-4 6-2 |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About