Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jan Lennard StruffWinston-Salem Round of 32

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 32
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 22 August 2016
hard
#41ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Carreno Busta P.
6-4 7-5
Struff J.
Carreno Busta P.
672
Struff J.
450

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-4 7-5 in the Winston-Salem round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

41
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-11-22Davis Cup Finals SF: ESP vs GERRRhardPablo Carreno Busta6-4 7-6(6)
2020-11-02Paris MastersR32hardPablo Carreno Busta7-6(3) 6-2
2019-07-22HamburgR16clayPablo Carreno Busta6-1 7-6(4)
2019-01-07AucklandQFhardJan Lennard Struff7-6(5) 6-7(6) 7-6(7)
2014-04-13Monte Carlo MastersQ1clayPablo Carreno Busta5-7 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Struff J.
21
Serve
36
44
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.6
8.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
61
Break points saved·Even
97
99
Break points won·Dominant
61
21
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
68
Tiebreaks·Even
95
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
92
64

Carreno Busta P.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Struff J.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast