Reilly Opelka vs Tommy Paul — Champaign CH Semi-final

Champaign CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
Reilly Opelka
USA4
Reilly Opelka
#131ATP
1749ELO
1734Hard ELO
$325kYTD
$6.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 211 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 November 2018
hard
Tommy Paul
USA
Tommy Paul
#24ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Opelka R.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Paul T.
Opelka R.
2662
Paul T.
6441

Reilly Opelka defeated Tommy Paul 2-6 6-4 6-4 in the Champaign CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Reilly Opelka claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AdelaideR16hardTommy Paul6-4 6-4
2025-02-03DallasQFhardTommy Paul7-6(3) 6-2
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Opelka R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving96% hold

wins 76% of points on serve vs Opelka R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Opelka R.Paul T.
86
Serve
71
0
Return
54

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Opelka R.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
28%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
70%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
17.5
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.1
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Opelka R.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
93
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
1
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
98
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Opelka R.Paul T.
Freshness·
—
91

Paul T.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Final
Opelka R.[4]
Shane R.
7-666-3
Semi-finals
Shane R.
Rola B.
6-46-3
Opelka R.[4]
Paul T.
2-66-46-4
Quarter-finals
Shane R.
Smith J.[8]
7-56-1
Opelka R.[4]
Wang T.
6-26-2
Paul T.
Eubanks C.[7]
6-27-63
Rola B.
Bangoura S.
7-626-3
R16
Eubanks C.[7]
Heliovaara H.
W/O
Wang T.
Ymer M.
6-16-4
Bangoura S.
Ayeni O.
6-736-26-3
Rola B.
Polansky P.[3]
6-36-4
Paul T.
Hiltzik J.
7-636-4
Opelka R.[4]
Uchida K.
6-736-47-63
Smith J.[8]
Garanganga T.
6-36-4
Shane R.
Granollers M.[1]
6-36-4
R32
Heliovaara H.
Torpegaard M.
3-67-56-4
Hiltzik J.
Wolf J.
7-57-5
Eubanks C.[7]
King K.
6-43-66-3
Uchida K.
Korda S.
7-56-756-4
Wang T.
Aragone J.
6-36-1
Polansky P.[3]
Kypson P.
7-56-2
Granollers M.[1]
Ritschard A.
6-16-1
Ayeni O.
Roelofse R.
6-36-4
Ymer M.
Milojevic N.[6]
6-36-3
Opelka R.[4]
Glasspool L.
7-637-62
Bangoura S.
Laaksonen H.[5]
6-43-0
Paul T.
Humbert U.[2]
6-44-66-2
Smith J.[8]
Yevseyev D.
6-37-61
Garanganga T.
Clark E.
6-30-66-3
Rola B.
Brown A.
6-27-66