Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander BublikAstana CH Round of 32

Astana CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 July 2018
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Popyrin A.
5-7 6-3 6-4
Bublik A.
Popyrin A.
5662
Bublik A.
7341

Alexei Popyrin defeated Alexander Bublik 5-7 6-3 6-4 in the Astana CH round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's semi-final. Alexei Popyrin extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik6-4 6-3
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)
2024-02-19DohaQFhardAlexei Popyrin6-4 6-4
2021-02-22SingaporeFhardAlexei Popyrin4-6 6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Bublik A.
41
Serve
65
11
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.7
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
78

Popyrin A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast