Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander BublikDoha Quarter-final

Doha · ATP · Quarter-final
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 19 February 2024
hard
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Popyrin A.
6-4 6-4
Bublik A.
Popyrin A.
662
Bublik A.
440

Alexei Popyrin defeated Alexander Bublik 6-4 6-4 in the Doha quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, leading the head-to-head 2–1. Alexei Popyrin narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Alexei Popyrin edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardAlexander Bublik6-4 6-3
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)
2021-02-22SingaporeFhardAlexei Popyrin4-6 6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Popyrin A.Bublik A.
40
Serve
65
11
Return
25

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
35%
Break points saved·Even
66%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
9.7
11.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
5.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (106 vs 140). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
67
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
99
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1681
Surface ELO
7.3+156 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1889
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
7.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
98
74

Popyrin A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 34%