Alexander Bublik vs Alexei PopyrinParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Bublik A.
6-4 6-3
Popyrin A.
Bublik A.
662
Popyrin A.
430

Alexander Bublik defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-4 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 32. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR64clayAlexander Bublik6-4 7-6(4)
2024-02-19DohaQFhardAlexei Popyrin6-4 6-4
2021-02-22SingaporeFhardAlexei Popyrin4-6 6-0 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Popyrin A.
65
Serve
40
25
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
35%
34%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
10.8
10.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
59
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
67
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
75
Tiebreaks·Even
96
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+156 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1681
7.5Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1741
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
3.7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.9
Minutes 14d
7.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
5.6
Country comfort
4.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
66
97

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%