Marketa Vondrousova vs Aryna SabalenkaBiel Qualifying Round 2

Biel · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#132WTA
1907ELO
1826Hard ELO
$33kYTD
$12MCAREER
27 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2017
hard
#1WTA
2220ELO
2201Hard ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Vondrousova M.
2-6 6-2 6-1
Sabalenka A.
Vondrousova M.
2662
Sabalenka A.
6211

Marketa Vondrousova defeated Aryna Sabalenka 2-6 6-2 6-1 in the Biel qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aryna Sabalenka came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 5–3. Marketa Vondrousova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–4.

Key context

Head to head

35
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07CincinnatiR64hardAryna Sabalenka7-5 6-1
2025-06-16BerlinSFgrassMarketa Vondrousova6-2 6-4
2024-04-15StuttgartQFclayMarketa Vondrousova3-6 6-3 7-5
2023-01-02Adelaide 1QFhardAryna Sabalenka6-3 7-5
2022-01-17Australian OpenR32hardAryna Sabalenka4-6 6-3 6-1
2021-03-22MiamiR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-1 6-2
2018-06-11S-HertogenboschR32grassAryna Sabalenka0-6 7-5 6-3
2018-03-05Indian WellsR32hardMarketa Vondrousova6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Vondrousova M.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Sabalenka A.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Vondrousova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Vondrousova M.Sabalenka A.
Serve
96
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
58%
63%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.9
4.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
98
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Even
99
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Sabalenka A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast